Continuing this geopolitical series of Yi Jing consultations, today we turn our attention to Europe, partly because of the unusually intense riots underway in France, but mainly because the entire conflict in Ukraine ultimately may affect European nations more than most others world wide. No matter what transpires, they are between a rock and a hard place. On the one hand, enjoying good relations with Russia – which is technically part of European civilization, and now arguably upholds many of its foundational elements, being more traditionalist and ‘conservative’ than most Western polities these days – would be a good thing in an ideal world. On the other hand, the neocons et alia in the US and various corridors of power in the West have clearly made it a core mission to antagonize Russia, using Ukraine to drive a wedge between Russia and Europe in ways which seem to provide almost no benefit to any party involved.
So Europe is in the crosshairs even if all the fighting is in Ukraine. Not to mention that not a day goes by without some mention about how we in the West are, or need to be, helping Ukraine with funding, weapons, military services (such as spy satellite data and military training) and so on, making this clearly much more than a simple Russia-Ukraine civil war.
For Europe to realign with Russia they would have to break with the US. More importantly perhaps, the various nation states within Europe, each with clearly definable cultures and histories, would need to break with the EU. If Germany, for example, wants to exercise feeling free and able to make decisions in her own interest on her own without having to defer either to the EU Central Authority in Brussels or to the neocons dominating US foreign policy, she would have to break from the EU. Same for all other countries in Europe.
The question ‘Will the EU soon dissolve?’ – admittedly loaded in thrust – implies wondering if European nation states will once again be sovereign. So the question basically involves whether or not the centralizing power that is the EU as an institution will (or should) endure. In this context, it’s quite interesting that the Nuclear 28 in many texts basically says that ‘things cannot keep going on this way, they have reached breaking point.’ Also, as mentioned in the pdf document above, all three hexagrams feature two solid lines in the middle clearly highlighting this centralization issue. That said, given the 62 Derived which recommends coming back down to earth versus flying too high, it seems this centralized dynamic is problematic, especially given the unstable first line, the foundation of the EU’s Abundance, leading away from interconnected Fire into Mountain which often means stopping. So if the idea is to stop flying high and also possibly even to stop altogether, that seems to imply that the EU itself should indeed soon stop.
Put another way, holding everything together in the middle in the centralized fashion of Hexagram 28 ䷛ seems too much because it probably no longer benefits the individual members equally since each may have different interests and needs. The stresses and strains evidenced by the huge, costly and deadly military confrontation in Ukraine is probably going to make this increasingly clear as time goes by as the rigid centralization principle inherent in the European Union bureaucracy in Brussels becomes more and more of a burden for its member nations. Given the ’10-day’ timeframe in the Line 1 commentary, I’d say that ‘yes, the EU needs to dissolve fairly soon.’